This is , to my mind a question that never seems to be asked - but one in which I feel compelled ask -

Are there any trends to the modern polling, that shows the
patterns associated with uncertainty?

That is, is there anyone out there, that is interested in the specifically predictive power of the poll instrument itself?

For example, are there any statistics about how many front runners in a primary, go on to win the primary? How about the statistics associated with the moods and beliefs of the voters polled - who have actually formed an opinion about the candidates - are these voters in fact determinant of the election?

Also, another idea of mine - has anyone looked at the statistics of the pollsters - namely - which pollster will invariably LEAVE OUT THE MEASUREMENT OF UNCERTAINTY or also try to ask questions that are loaded. IE which polls are in fact not really there to guage public sentiment? But instead to perform the dark bidding of their dark and unseen masters..

Finally - has anyone looked at the type of person who cares about polling data right now. It just seems to me that, to be a political junkie - would be so unhealthy.